Bargain Shopping

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As the season winds down and teams fall out of playoff races or teams strengthen their position within a race, we like to stop and look to see how good or not a player or players  have been up to this point. Has Player X been worth what my team paid for? Is our General Manager spending the owner’s money wisely? The season is not quite over in Texas but let’s reflect on player value up to today.
In the table below we have the players broken down by category.  


bWAR = This is the players wins above replacement. Instead of going into a long diatribe about WAR this is a simple definition. We are using bWAR for consistency since Dan Allsup used it in last year’s Player Value.


Salary = Pretty self explanatory,but each player is listed in the millions. 


^ Worth = The basic accepted formula for this is WAR x $5.


* Value = WAR/Salary. Basically it is an ROI (return on investment) in baseball terms.


# Surplus = (Worth-Salary) The surplus gives us an easy way to see if Jon Daniels comes out ahead or behind with a contract.



Name bWAR Salary (in $M) Value* Worth^ Surplus#
Derek Holland 4.4 3.200 1.38 22.0 18.80
Yu Darvish 5.1 9.500 0.54 25.5 16.00
Adrian Beltre 5.6 16.000 0.35 28.0 12.00
Leonys Martin 3.0 3.250 0.92 15.0 11.75
Elvis Andrus 3.1 5.050 0.61 15.5 10.45
Craig Gentry 2.1 0.501 4.19 10.5 10.00
Neal Cotts 2.0 0.500 4.00 10.0 9.50
Tanner Scheppers 1.6 0.494 3.24 8.0 7.51
Robbie Ross 1.5 0.497 3.02 7.5 7.00
Ian Kinsler 3.8 13.000 0.29 19.0 6.00
Alexi Ogando 1.3 0.507 2.57 6.5 5.99
Martin Perez 1.1 0.492 2.24 5.5 5.01
Joe Nathan 2.6 8.000 0.33 13.0 5.00
Mitch Moreland 0.7 0.503 1.39 3.5 3.00
Jeff Baker 0.9 1.750 0.51 4.5 2.75
AJ Pierzynski 1.7 7.500 0.23 8.5 1.00
Nelson Cruz 2.1 10.250 0.20 10.5 0.25
Josh Lindbloom 0.1 0.500 0.20 0.5 0.00
Jurickson Profar 0.0 0.491 0.00 0.0 -0.49
Engel Beltre 0.0 0.491 0.00 0.0 -0.49
Travis Blackley 0.0 0.550 0.00 0.0 -0.55
Nick Tepesch -0.1 0.491 -0.20 -0.5 -0.99
Joakim Soria 0.2 2.000 0.10 1.0 -1.00
Joe Ortiz -0.2 0.490 -0.41 -1.0 -1.49
Geovany Soto 0.2 2.750 0.07 1.0 -1.75
Derek Lowe -0.5 1.250 -0.40 -2.5 -3.75
Michael Kirkman -0.8 0.496 -1.61 -4.0 -4.50
David Murphy -0.1 5.775 -0.02 -0.5 -6.28
Matt Harrison -0.4 5.200 -0.08 -2.0 -7.20
Justin Grimm -1.5 0.491 -3.05 -7.5 -7.99
Lance Berkman 0.2 10.000 0.02 1.0 -9.00
*A few players were left off that will be included in the year end version.
*Neal Cotts’ contract is impossible to find so we estimated at $500,000,
if it is incorrect please submit the correct salary.
This is here so you can draw your own conclusions, but a few interesting points.

  • If you go back to Dan Allsup’s 2012 Player Value table, you’ll notice that Craig Gentry has the highest value among last year’s team, and once again Craig is at the top of the list.
  • Derek Holland has the highest surplus, 3rd highest WAR and 3rd highest value.
  • For fun add up the value, worth and surplus of Cotts, Scheppers, Ross and Nathan.


  • Robert Pike will follow this up with the Rangers bullpen value vs the rest of baseball.
  • At the end of the year, we’ll break down the value of all the teams.

 

Patrick Despain is the CEO and Co-Founder of ShutDown Inning. He can be reached at Patrick.Despain@ShutDownInning.com or on Twitter @ShutDownInning

Patrick Despain
Patrick is a member of the IBWAA and creator of Shutdown Inning. He was raised him Arlington, Texas and grew up watching games on HSE and listening to Eric Nadel and Mark Holtz on the radio. He is a long time Rangers fan and never achieved his dream of being a bat boy. He know lives in Georgia with dreams of a Texas return.

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