SDI Prospect Rankings – #2 Nomar Mazara

The #2 prospect on our list at SDI has been on the radar for quite awhile now and was added to the 40 man roster this Winter. Ever since signing for a record $5 million at the ripe age of 16, Nomar Mazara has been a high profile prospect.

At the time of the signing, despite receiving the larger bonus, Mazara was considered a lesser prospect than first baseman Ronald Guzman. While Guzman has stalled of late, Mazara has thrived and is considered a top prospect in all of baseball. Baseball Prospectus has him ranked #5 in the game. Baseball America – #21. – #18. ESPN – #9. This is an impact player.

Video courtesy of Scott Lucas

Where Mazara makes his impact is at the plate. The 20-year-old lefty shows a very advanced feel for the zone, rarely expanding to chase pitches off-speed or not. As this has developed into a real tool for the outfielder, Mazara has been able to cut his strikeout rate from ~26% in his 2013 full-season debut to under 19% in 2015.

Mazara’s high mark for home runs currently sits at 19, however, given the swing, his age and the good weight he’s already starting to add (as shown below), power is expected to develop into a plus tool. 20+ should be common to see as he continues to develop physically.

The advanced approach and abilities at his young age are what really stand out for Mazara. He doesn’t pop out, he utilizes the entire field, has a very professional outlook. During his time in Frisco a year ago, he seemed at times to be toying with pitchers. The first couple months the Santo Domingo, DR, native seemed determined to put the ball in play and work to the opposite field. The results? OBPs of .377 and .388 in April and May. As the season moved into June and July the focus seemingly became more on driving the ball. What happened? 19 extra base hits (11 HRs) and slugging percentages of .565 and .449, respectively. In August, Mazara was promoted to Triple-A Round Rock where in a small sample size of 20 games he put up a .358/.409/.444 slashline.

Nomar Mazara

Spray chart via

Defensively, Mazara may end up splitting time between left and right for a couple of reasons. The obvious one is currently sitting in the right field spot is Shin-Soo Choo, signed through the 2020 season. The other reason is, despite his plus arm, Mazara’s lack of speed creates a tendency for balls stuck in the corner to turn into triples at a high rate. All in all, the 2015 Futures Game selection should be a serviceable corner outfielder.

While Nomar Mazara doesn’t have the upside of a Joey Gallo or maybe even a Lewis Brinson, he is a very safe bet to produce in some form or fashion given his developed all-around game at the plate. That sentence is not one typically written on 20-year-old prospects. While the start of his 2016 season should be in Round Rock, his debut date likely comes this year whether that’s a September cup of tea or something a little more important.

Grant Schiller
Grant is currently a student at the University of North Texas and long-term hopes to get into the world of scouting. He will spend many nights over the summer checking out the prospects around the Texas League in Frisco. When not around baseball, Grant will probably be dropping threes at the rec with no remorse.

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